The price of non-woven fabrics is showing a downward trend
Although the current market is getting colder, the domestic meltblown cloth manufacturers still have a profit, but for the future market, most companies say that it is impossible to predict, and it depends on the development of the epidemic. As far as the industry is concerned, the current market is not as hot as the previous two months, but many types of non-woven fabrics are still in short supply. For example, spunlace and super fiber used in the production of fast-moving consumer goods are still increasing. It is expected that the popularity will continue. Continue until the end of this year.
2020-2023 non-woven fabric supply forecast
my country is the world's largest non-woven fabric production and consumption country, but the proportion of melt blown fabric is very low. From the perspective of the industry's production capacity, in 2015, my country's annual output of various nonwovens was 4.85 million tons, and by 2019 it had reached 6.51 million tons, with an average growth rate of 7.64%. Among them, the output of spunbond nonwovens accounts for the highest proportion. In 2015, the output of spunbond nonwovens was 2,358,600 tons. In 2019, the output of spunbond nonwovens increased to 3,260,900 tons, with an average growth rate of 8.44%, accounting for all nonwovens production. The proportion of sulphur increased from 48.63% to 50.09%. Among them, in terms of composite non-woven fabrics, taking SMS composite fabrics as an example, the output of SMS composite fabrics in 2015 was 417,900 tons, and the output expanded to 655,800 tons in 2019, with an average growth rate of 11.92%.
2020 melt blown cloth price and profit comparison chart
In the first half of 2020, the price of melt blown cloth experienced two sharp rises, reaching a high of 720,000 yuan/ton, and then continued to decline. Because the production cost of melt blown cloth has not changed much, its profit trend and price trend are basically Unanimous. Although the price of high-melt fiber polypropylene, the raw material for melt-blown cloth, soared from about 7,000 yuan/ton to a high of more than 30,000 yuan/ton, and the cost increased for a while, the increase in cost was much smaller than the increase in the price of melt-blown cloth. Since May, the price of meltblown cloth has been declining, and profits have fallen accordingly. However, due to its low production cost, the theoretical profit has always remained positive without considering the financial expenses such as device depreciation.
2020 composite non-woven fabric price and profit comparison chart
The price tracking of composite non-woven fabrics started in early June, showing a volatile downward trend, and the profit trend was consistent with the price trend. According to the estimated cost, the raw materials of SMS composite non-woven fabrics include fiber-grade polypropylene and meltblown materials. Although the price of raw materials fluctuates slightly, the maximum amplitude of cost changes during the monitoring period does not exceed 2,000 yuan/ton, but for 40,000 yuan/ton. Tons of SMS composite cloth has less impact, and the cost trend is mainly to stabilize. As of the end of July, the profit of SMS composite non-woven fabrics remained above 20,000 yuan/ton.
During the reporter's investigation, the listed companies concerned kept secrets about their own performance. However, combing through public information, we can see that the performance of the relevant companies in the first half of this year may have already been lost.